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Alternative Housing Finance for Namibia's Labour Force

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Alternative Housing Finance for Namibia's Labour Force

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Infrastructure
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Real Estate
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
15% - 20% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
USD 100 million - USD 1 billion
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11) No Poverty (SDG 1)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8) Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9) Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)

Business Model Description

Provide affordable housing finance to individuals who do not currently qualify for mortgage and have limited credit history with formal banks but are gainfully employed. Financing is provided on basis of conditional monthly repayment rates, using certain aspects of banking and non-banking criteria to determine a risk profile.

Expected Impact

Facilitate access to home ownership for Namibia's labour force not supported by commercial banks.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

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Country
Region
  • Namibia: Countrywide
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Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Infrastructure

Development need
The Africa SDG Index and Dashboards Report 2019, on SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure) indicates that Namibia has “major challenges” in achieving this SDG (VIII). The country's infrastructure performance is ranked 94 out of 114 countries in the WEF Global Competitiveness Report 2019 (XII).

Policy priority
The Government prioritises infrastructure development towards SDG achievement (I). Namibia's 5th National Development Plan (NDP5) highlights how the lack of infrastructure development results in bottlenecks for economic development (II). It committed to spending 42% (NAD 74 billion, USD 5.3 billion) of the country's GDP on infrastructure projects over five years (VII).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Given that infrastructure projects are typically linked to large-scale construction, gender representation in the construction industry was used as a proxy to gauge gender equality within the infrastructure sector. Namibia’s construction industry is male-dominated; 92% of its workforce is male (XII).

Investment opportunities introduction
Namibia put in place the Public Private Partnership Act in 2018, which aims to address the country's critical infrastructure needs through participation from the private sector through leveraging public private partnerships (PPPs) (IX). It also established a dedicated infrastructure fund to support the sector's growth (X).

Sub Sector

Real Estate

Development need
Ensuring access for all to adequate, safe and affordable housing and basic services in Namibia, as captured under SDG 11 on Sustainable Cities and Communities, continues to face significant challenges in Namibia, even if its indicator is expected to be achieved (VIII).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
In Namibia's rural areas, 75.3% of female headed households resides in traditional dwellings compared to 58.5% of male headed households. In urban areas, a slightly higher number of male headed households (30.4%) reside in improvised housing units, compared to 28.5% of female headed households (XIII, XVI).

Industry

Real Estate

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Alternative Housing Finance for Namibia's Labour Force

Business Model

Provide affordable housing finance to individuals who do not currently qualify for mortgage and have limited credit history with formal banks but are gainfully employed. Financing is provided on basis of conditional monthly repayment rates, using certain aspects of banking and non-banking criteria to determine a risk profile.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

USD 100 million - USD 1 billion

Rental expenditure constitutes the highest expense for households in Namibia, totalling 70% of all housing expenditure. With 119,217 households, Windhoek is a lucrative market worth USD 614 million spent on housing annually, of which rental expenditure stands at USD 85.4 million annually (2).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

15% - 20%

Based on experiences from the RTO Alternative Housing Finance Bond Programme at the Namibian Stock Exchange (NSE), the IRR for government financing ranges between 15 and 20% (3).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Based on experiences from the RTO Alternative Housing Finance Bond Programme at the Namibian Stock Exchange (NSE), the investment timeframe is 5-10 years (3).

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Availability of housing stock may be limited to meet the demand and allow for alternative financing arrangements at the required scale.

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Market players and potential clients have a limited understanding and knowledge regarding alternative financing methods for home ownership.

Impact Case

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Sustainable Development Need

Namibia's current housing stock is too expensive and remains unaffordable for the economically active labour force of Namibia. The current housing prices especially in Windhoek leaves the majority of Namibia’s economically productive labour force outside of the property market.

Using transaction data, which shows a minimum mortgage amount of USD 50,000, implies that the qualifying gross salary for a 100% mortgage is USD 1,571 per month. Comparing this with salary levels, it implies that mortgage products by commercial banks cover only 14% of employed Namibians (2, 4).

Gender & Marginalisation

Namibians who are economically active but operate with lower salary levels remain excluded from home ownership and are exposed to high rent costs, especially in urban localities.

Expected Development Outcome

Increased access to formal housing, covering the majority of Namibia's population.

Increased balance sheets for large sections of the population, thereby decreasing economic inequality.

Increased affordable housing stock and heightened financial inclusion.

Gender & Marginalisation

Primary SDGs addressed

Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11)
11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities

11.1.1 Proportion of urban population living in informal, informal settlements or inadequate housing

No Poverty (SDG 1)
1 - No Poverty

1.4.1 Proportion of population living in households with access to basic services

1.4.2 Proportion of total adult population with secure tenure rights to land, (a) with legally recognized documentation, and (b) who perceive their rights to land as secure, by sex and type of tenure

Secondary SDGs addressed

Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9)
9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)
10 - Reduced Inequalities

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Employed individuals empowered to purchase homes; consequently benefitting from improved living conditions.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Women and marginalised groups benefitting from greater opportunities to invest income and savings productively.

Planet

Environment thanks to better managed sanitation and waste systems in more permanent structures.

Corporates

Banking system obtaining access to a new customer segment.

Public sector

Government institutions thanks to better urban planning opportunities.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

Corporates

Businesses operating in the construction industry, and secondary firm serving newly developed houses.

Public sector

Local authorities and municipalities providing services to newly developed houses.

Outcome Risks

New innovative finance instruments may reduce demand for traditional finance products used by low income consumers, such as microfinance and stokvels (rotating credit unions or saving schemes).

Impact Risks

Due to the economic downtime following COVID-19, the demand for home ownership may be limited among private sector employees, reducing the market of this opportunity to Government employees.

Namibians most in need may not be able to afford the financing and remain excluded from accessing formal housing and its benefits.

Impact Classification

C—Contribute to Solutions

What

The outcome is likely to be positive, important and intended because alternative housing finance provides access to home ownership with its socio-economic benefits.

Who

Economically productive labour force outside of the property market gaining access to affordable housing.

Risk

While alternative housing finance models exist, they can lead to indebtedness especially for Government employees already engaging micro-lenders.

Impact Thesis

Facilitate access to home ownership for Namibia's labour force not supported by commercial banks.

Enabling Environment

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Policy Environment

National Housing Policy, 2017: States that the role of Government is to facilitate and promote partnerships between all relevant public and private parties concerned with the delivery of land, shelter and human settlement development (5).

Vision 2030, 2004: Identifies the objectives of providing access to adequate shelter for 60% of Namibia's low-income population by the year 2025 (6).

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: Government employees are provided with housing subsidy in line with their income brackets (but limited housing stock hinders most from activating the subsidy) (14).

Other incentives: The National Housing Enterprise and the Build Together programme promote home ownership for individuals earning under USD 2,000 per month (7, 8).

Regulatory Environment

Banking Institutions Act, 1998: Consolidates and amends the laws relating to banking institutions, and provides for the authorisation of a person to conduct business as a banking (9).

Friendly Societies Act, 1956: Provide for the registration, incorporation, regulation and dissolution of friendly societies (10).

Usury Act, 1968: Provides for the limitation and disclosure of finance charges levied in respect of money lending transactions, credit transactions and leasing transactions (11).

Pension Fund Act, 1956: Provides for the registration, incorporation, regulation and dissolution of pension funds (12).

Sales of Instalment Act, 1971: Regulates contracts of purchase and sale of certain kinds of land under which the purchase price is payable in instalments over a period of one year or longer (13).

Marketplace Participants

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Private Sector

Investors such as the Government Institution Fund (property / housing mandate department) and the Development Bank of Namibia. Existing financiers and projects such as Rent-To-Own (RTO) Namibia, which was established by Ongos Valley Development.

Government

Ministry of Finance, Minister of Urban and Rural Development.

Non-Profit

Shack Dwellers Federation of Namibia.

Target Locations

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country static map
urban

Namibia: Countrywide

Financing for low-cost housing is required across the country in all urban contexts.

References

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